Non League Div One Isthmian North. Jor. 17

Grays Athletic vs Great Wakering Rovers analysis

Grays Athletic Great Wakering Rovers
27 ELO 16
0.6% Tilt -13.3%
10270º General ELO ranking 8133º
629º Country ELO ranking 427º
ELO win probability
78.8%
Grays Athletic
13.4%
Draw
7.8%
Great Wakering Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
Grays Athletic
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.8%
Win probability
Great Wakering Rovers
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grays Athletic
-4%
-8%
Great Wakering Rovers

Points and table prediction

Grays Athletic
Their league position
Great Wakering Rovers
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
10º
27
15º
20º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hashtag United
97
98
100%
AFC Sudbury
91
91
100%
Lowestoft Town
74
77
100%
Grays Athletic
69
72
100%
Felixstowe & Walton Utd
69
69
100%
Heybridge Swifts
66
69
100%
Stowmarket Town
63
66
100%
Brentwood Town
52
55
100%
New Salamis
55
55
100%
Wroxham
10º
50
50
10º
100%
Bury Town
11º
50
50
11º
100%
East Thurrock United FC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Gorleston
13º
41
44
13º
100%
Basildon United
15º
39
40
14º
100%
Maldon & Tiptree
14º
39
39
15º
100%
Witham Town
16º
32
35
16º
100%
Great Wakering Rovers
17º
27
30
17º
100%
Coggeshall Town
19º
25
28
18º
100%
Tilbury
18º
27
27
19º
100%
Hullbridge Sports
20º
19
22
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Grays Athletic
Great Wakering Rovers
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Grays Athletic
Great Wakering Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grays Athletic
Grays Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2022
STO
Stowmarket Town
2 - 0
Grays Athletic
GRA
61%
20%
19%
29 35 6 0
03 Dec. 2022
GRA
Grays Athletic
1 - 0
Bury Town
BUR
63%
19%
18%
28 24 4 +1
26 Nov. 2022
HUL
Hullbridge Sports
2 - 0
Grays Athletic
GRA
18%
22%
60%
31 18 13 -3
19 Nov. 2022
GRA
Grays Athletic
2 - 3
Hashtag United
HTG
42%
22%
36%
32 35 3 -1
12 Nov. 2022
YEL
AFC Sudbury
3 - 1
Grays Athletic
GRA
63%
20%
17%
33 38 5 -1

Matches

Great Wakering Rovers
Great Wakering Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2022
GRE
Great Wakering Rovers
0 - 3
Hashtag United
HTG
14%
17%
69%
17 36 19 0
26 Nov. 2022
YEL
AFC Sudbury
5 - 0
Great Wakering Rovers
GRE
83%
11%
5%
17 39 22 0
19 Nov. 2022
GRE
Great Wakering Rovers
1 - 2
Bury Town
BUR
34%
23%
43%
18 24 6 -1
12 Nov. 2022
GOR
Gorleston
2 - 2
Great Wakering Rovers
GRE
42%
22%
37%
18 16 2 0
05 Nov. 2022
GRE
Great Wakering Rovers
2 - 4
East Thurrock United FC
EAS
31%
22%
47%
19 24 5 -1
X