Grays Athletic vs Biggleswade United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 3
GRA
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LEI
1 - 2
GRA
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
GRA
4 - 0
BRE
65%
21%
15%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
DUL
1 - 1
GRA
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 0
CAN
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Biggleswade United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BIG
5 - 3
CHA
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BIG
2 - 1
DES
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BIG
2 - 1
HOR
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BIG
1 - 0
CAN
17%
20%
63%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | +3 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
HEN
7 - 1
BIG
73%
17%
10%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | 0 |