Grays Athletic vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
HEY
3 - 3
GRA
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 2
ROM
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
POT
1 - 3
GRA
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
GRA
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
GRA
0 - 4
WAL
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 2
YEL
57%
22%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
YEL
2 - 2
NOR
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
YEL
1 - 1
BUR
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
YEL
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
MIL
0 - 1
YEL
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |