Gravelines vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gravelines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
LEH
2 - 0
GRA
57%
23%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SAI
2 - 1
GRA
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
GRA
0 - 0
CAE
27%
25%
48%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
UJA
2 - 1
GRA
62%
22%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
GRA
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 0
AMI
73%
18%
10%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 2
SAI
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
ARR
4 - 1
LEH
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ARR
5 - 2
CAE
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
UJA
0 - 0
ARR
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |