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La Liga. Matchday 14

Granada vs Real Madrid analysis

Granada Real Madrid
75 ELO 93
-10% Tilt 7%
116º General ELO ranking
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
18.5%
Granada
22.6%
Draw
58.9%
Real Madrid

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
Granada
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.9%
Win probability
Real Madrid
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Granada
-27%
+42%
Real Madrid

Points and table prediction

Granada
Their league position
Real Madrid
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
12º
18º
13º
20
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
R. Sociedad
21
65
6%
Real Madrid
20
92
0%
Sevilla
20
73
11%
Atlético
18
69
9%
Real Betis
18
62
6%
Osasuna
18
57
6%
Rayo Vallecano
16
57
6%
Athletic
16
53
11º
6%
Barcelona
15
73
4%
Valencia
10º
13
62
5%
Espanyol
11º
13
43
12º
5%
Mallorca
12º
12
40
14º
6%
Villarreal
13º
11
53
10º
5%
Elche
14º
10
36
17º
6%
Celta
15º
7
38
15º
7%
Granada
16º
7
41
13º
7%
Cádiz
17º
7
32
18º
7%
Alavés
18º
6
27
19º
8%
Levante
19º
5
38
16º
7%
Getafe
20º
2
23
20º
12%
Expected probabilities
Granada
Real Madrid
Champion
0% 99%
Champions League
10% 1%
Europa League
4% 0%
Europa Conference League
4% 0%
Mid-table
61% 0%
Relegation
21% 0%

ELO progression

Real Madrid
RMA
Granada
GRA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Granada
Granada
1%
X%
2%
ELO GRA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2021
OSA
Osasuna
1 - 1
Granada
GRA
53%
25%
22%
2179 2242 63 +2
03 Oct. 2021
GRA
Granada
1 - 0
Sevilla
SEV
29%
26%
45%
2160 3023 -863 +18
27 Sep. 2021
CEL
Celta
1 - 0
Granada
GRA
51%
25%
24%
2170 2320 150 -10
23 Sep. 2021
GRA
Granada
2 - 3
R. Sociedad
RSO
37%
28%
35%
2180 2651 -471 -10
20 Sep. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 1
Granada
GRA
82%
12%
6%
2169 3586 1417 +10

Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1%
X%
2%
ELO RMA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 2
Real Madrid
RMA
52%
26%
22%
3426 3495 69 0
19 Oct. 2021
SHA
Shakhtar Donetsk
0 - 5
Real Madrid
RMA
16%
20%
64%
3416 1756 -1660 +12
03 Oct. 2021
ESP
Espanyol
2 - 1
Real Madrid
RMA
16%
20%
64%
3433 1802 -1631 -22
28 Sep. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
1 - 2
Sheriff
SHF
80%
12%
8%
3482 1369 2113 -46
25 Sep. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
0 - 0
Villarreal
VIL
73%
18%
10%
3487 2652 835 -8