Copa del Rey . Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Granada vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
42.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
GRA
0 - 0
CEL
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
OSA
0 - 3
GRA
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 1
VAD
43%
28%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
ATH
1 - 0
GRA
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ATM
1 - 0
GRA
66%
22%
13%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ATH
1 - 0
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 1
ATH
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ATH
0 - 1
OSA
58%
24%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
ATH
1 - 0
GRA
57%
24%
20%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
RSO
2 - 1
ATH
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |