Gran Peña vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
TUR
3 - 1
GRA
45%
26%
30%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
GRA
0 - 2
CDO
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
CAN
0 - 0
GRA
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
GRA
0 - 0
LUG
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
COM
0 - 1
GRA
90%
8%
3%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
SPB
1 - 0
ALO
75%
15%
9%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
CAU
1 - 1
SPB
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
ENS
3 - 3
SPB
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
SPB
0 - 1
TUR
83%
12%
6%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
CDO
2 - 1
SPB
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |