De Graafschap vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 0
GRA
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
ADO
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 1
WIL
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
RJC
1 - 1
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 0
GRA
42%
26%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 1
GRO
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FEY
2 - 1
NAC
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 0
NAC
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 2
ADO
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PSV
4 - 1
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |