De Graafschap vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 1
GRA
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 1
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
TEL
1 - 2
GRA
17%
21%
62%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 0
EIN
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 1
ALK
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
FCD
1 - 0
TEL
23%
24%
52%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
GAE
5 - 1
FCD
73%
18%
8%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
FCD
1 - 3
FCO
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
PSV
0 - 1
FCD
66%
19%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
JUT
3 - 1
FCD
62%
20%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |