Goytacaz vs Desportiva Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytacaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
GOY
0 - 1
AME
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1979 |
ANA
2 - 1
GOY
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -9 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
GOY
0 - 1
ATP
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
INT
2 - 0
GOY
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
SAO
1 - 0
GOY
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
CEN
2 - 1
DES
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
DES
1 - 1
VIL
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +3 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
ADL
1 - 1
DES
64%
20%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
BRA
5 - 0
DES
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1985 |
DES
0 - 2
PIN
41%
28%
32%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |