Gornyak vs Dinamo Kirov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gornyak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
GUC
4 - 0
KHI
60%
23%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
TYU
5 - 0
GUC
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
FCC
0 - 0
GUC
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
GUC
0 - 1
MOR
32%
26%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
GUC
1 - 2
VOL
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Kirov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
UFA
2 - 1
DIN
80%
15%
6%
|
28 | 62 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DIN
1 - 3
NEF
53%
24%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
DIN
1 - 2
SGI
20%
24%
56%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
LAD
1 - 0
DIN
70%
19%
11%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SOK
1 - 0
DIN
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |