Petrópolis vs CEAC / Araruama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
AME
0 - 1
PET
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
PET
1 - 1
AUD
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2025 |
PET
0 - 4
OLA
28%
27%
46%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
DUQ
0 - 2
PET
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
AUD
4 - 0
PET
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
ADC
0 - 2
RES
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
CAB
1 - 1
ADC
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
AME
3 - 1
ADC
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
ADC
0 - 0
PER
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
PET
2 - 0
ADC
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |