Golden Arrows vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SUN
0 - 0
GOL
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 1
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 0
CHI
35%
27%
37%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
GOL
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GOL
4 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 1
BLO
55%
26%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
PIR
3 - 1
FRE
50%
28%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PIR
1 - 2
FRE
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 0
AJA
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BID
1 - 3
FRE
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |