Goianésia vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
NME
2 - 0
GOI
37%
29%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
GOI
2 - 1
GAM
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
GAM
0 - 0
GOI
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
GOI
1 - 0
NME
45%
27%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 3
GOI
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 2
URO
30%
24%
45%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 0
JAR
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 4
BRA
12%
22%
66%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
URO
2 - 1
JAR
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 3
GOI
21%
25%
54%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -2 |