Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
TEL
0 - 1
GAE
41%
29%
30%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1971 |
GAE
3 - 0
ADO
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
GAE
0 - 0
VOL
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
DWS
2 - 1
GAE
36%
31%
33%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
MVV
0 - 1
GAE
42%
29%
30%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 4
FEY
19%
21%
60%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1971 |
AJA
7 - 0
EXC
95%
4%
1%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
UTR
1 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
EXC
1 - 0
HFC
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
EXC
1 - 0
SHS
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |