Gloucester City vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BLY
0 - 1
GLO
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
HAL
0 - 0
GLO
68%
19%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GLO
2 - 1
GUI
20%
24%
55%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
GLO
1 - 3
DRO
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
WOR
3 - 0
GLO
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GAI
2 - 0
EAS
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
VAU
3 - 1
GAI
35%
24%
41%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
WOR
2 - 1
GAI
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GAI
3 - 2
NUN
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 0
GAI
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |