Glenavon vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
GLE
3 - 1
ARD
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CRU
3 - 0
GLE
47%
24%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GLE
1 - 1
WAR
78%
15%
8%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
GLE
28%
23%
48%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 0
NEW
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CRU
3 - 2
INS
76%
16%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
INS
1 - 4
LIN
14%
23%
63%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 1
INS
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
INS
1 - 2
COL
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
LIN
5 - 0
INS
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -2 |