Girona vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
EIB
0 - 3
GIR
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
TER
0 - 1
GIR
6%
15%
79%
|
72 | 25 | 47 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 0
ALA
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
RCD
1 - 0
GIR
10%
18%
71%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
GIR
0 - 2
ESP
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
NUM
4 - 2
RJA
70%
20%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 2
NUM
7%
17%
77%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
NUM
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
NUM
0 - 0
RMC
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
NUM
0 - 2
ATH
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |