Ginásio de Alcobaça vs CD Torres Novas analysis


45	ELO	19
-2.4%	Tilt	-5.8%
25531º	General ELO ranking	21559º
552º	Country ELO ranking	375º
ELO win probability

82.7%

Ginásio de Alcobaça

11.9%

Draw

5.4%

CD Torres Novas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

82.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%

11.9%

Draw

0-0

3.5%

1-1

5.7%

2-2

2.3%

3-3

0.4%

4-4

<0%

0

11.9%

5.4%

Win probability

0.58

Expected goals

0-1

2.1%

1-2

1.7%

2-3

0.4%

3-4

0.1%

-1

4.2%

0-2

0.6%

1-3

0.3%

2-4

0.1%

-2

1%

0-3

0.1%

1-4

0%

-3

0.2%

0-4

0%

-4

<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ginásio de Alcobaça

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Mar. 2012	BOM 0 - 1 GDA 12% 20% 68%	45	15	30	0
04 Mar. 2012	GDA 0 - 0 BEN 77% 16% 8%	45	26	19	0
26 Feb. 2012	MAR 2 - 1 GDA 24% 25% 51%	47	32	15	-2
18 Feb. 2012	TOC 2 - 1 GDA 22% 25% 53%	49	32	17	-2
12 Feb. 2012	GDA 0 - 3 BEN 67% 19% 14%	50	41	9	-1