Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
49.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
8º
9º
49
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
GIM
0 - 2
SLP
23%
26%
51%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 1
GIM
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
GIM
0 - 0
DPR
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
DFR
1 - 0
GIM
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 2
SPB
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SLP
0 - 1
IND
42%
30%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
IND
2 - 0
LIN
62%
24%
14%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
DPR
2 - 1
IND
33%
30%
37%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
DFR
52%
27%
21%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SPB
2 - 0
IND
47%
28%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |