Gillingham vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
GIL
1 - 1
COL
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
WAL
0 - 0
GIL
46%
25%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
GIL
1 - 3
BBU
16%
23%
61%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
GIL
0 - 1
HAR
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
GIL
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
EXE
1 - 2
MKD
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CUM
0 - 1
EXE
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
EXE
1 - 1
YEO
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
EXE
1 - 1
NOR
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
EXE
0 - 5
QPR
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -2 |