Gillingham vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
26.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
BRE
2 - 0
GIL
54%
27%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
WYC
1 - 1
GIL
54%
27%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
SWA
0 - 1
GIL
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
GIL
1 - 0
SCA
62%
23%
16%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
FUL
0 - 0
GIL
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
BUR
0 - 0
CHE
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
CHE
1 - 0
WAL
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
CHE
1 - 2
BCF
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
STO
2 - 1
CHE
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
CHE
1 - 0
NOT
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |