Gillingham vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
69.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
GIL
1 - 1
WYC
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
DAG
2 - 0
GIL
48%
24%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
GIL
1 - 1
BRE
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 2
GIL
26%
25%
48%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
STO
1 - 2
GIL
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2008 |
HUL
0 - 1
ASV
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
ASV
2 - 2
ARS
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
WHU
0 - 1
ASV
32%
25%
44%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
HSV
3 - 1
ASV
29%
23%
48%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
ASV
4 - 2
BOL
52%
26%
23%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |