Gibraltar vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
72.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
GIB
1 - 0
MLT
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
GIB
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
GIB
0 - 2
EST
38%
25%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GIB
1 - 4
FRO
75%
15%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
SVK
0 - 0
GIB
86%
10%
4%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
POL
2 - 1
LTU
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
GER
0 - 0
POL
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
POL
0 - 1
SCO
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
MDA
0 - 1
POL
16%
23%
61%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
POL
3 - 0
NOR
46%
26%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |