Düren vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
55.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
DUR
7 - 0
YUK
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
DUS
2 - 1
DUR
34%
25%
41%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
SWE
1 - 0
DUR
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
DUR
1 - 2
BSC
44%
25%
32%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
MSV
2 - 2
DUR
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
VEL
2 - 2
KLE
64%
21%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ADL
2 - 1
VEL
52%
22%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
VEL
2 - 1
USO
60%
21%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
BAY
5 - 1
VEL
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
VEL
2 - 0
BOR
58%
23%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |