SD Gernika vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
19.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
SDI
1 - 0
GER
31%
29%
40%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
GER
4 - 0
EIB
57%
26%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
ELG
1 - 3
GER
38%
28%
34%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
GER
1 - 1
POR
35%
29%
36%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
BRU
1 - 1
GER
18%
24%
58%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
AUR
0 - 0
EIB
50%
28%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
POR
4 - 1
AUR
63%
22%
15%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
AUR
2 - 0
ZAL
26%
30%
44%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +3 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
CDU
1 - 2
AUR
63%
23%
15%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
AUR
2 - 1
BAS
23%
27%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |