Germinal de Rawson vs Belgrano Esquel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+237%
+93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germinal de Rawson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 0
GER
15%
19%
66%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
GER
3 - 1
BXC
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 1
GER
28%
23%
50%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GER
2 - 0
CDS
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SDM
0 - 1
GER
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Belgrano Esquel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 2
IND
30%
24%
46%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 0
BEL
44%
22%
34%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BXC
2 - 1
BEL
66%
19%
16%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 1
RAC
12%
18%
71%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
PAT
4 - 1
BEL
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |