Germania Erftstadt vs SW Nierfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania Erftstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SCB
4 - 0
GER
47%
22%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GER
2 - 1
AAA
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 1
GER
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GER
0 - 2
MER
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
BSC
1 - 0
GER
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
SW Nierfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
AAA
4 - 1
NIE
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
NIE
2 - 3
MER
52%
22%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
BFR
1 - 0
NIE
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
VIA
3 - 2
NIE
79%
14%
8%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
NIE
2 - 4
H05
12%
17%
71%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |