Germaneya vs Botev Ihtiman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germaneya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
GER
1 - 1
PIR
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
GER
2 - 0
BAL
29%
21%
51%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 2
GER
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
GER
1 - 2
FKM
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
HEB
1 - 0
GER
82%
13%
6%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Ihtiman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BOT
3 - 2
SEP
20%
23%
57%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
RIL
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
PIR
1 - 2
BOT
70%
18%
13%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
BOT
5 - 0
PIR
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
4 - 0
BOT
80%
14%
7%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | +1 |