Genoa vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 1
GEN
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
GEN
5 - 2
VIC
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
PRG
2 - 2
GEN
76%
16%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
GEN
5 - 0
SAL
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 1
GEN
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
TRE
3 - 1
TER
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
TRE
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
ASC
2 - 1
TRE
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
TRE
1 - 1
PES
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
PRG
2 - 0
TRE
81%
14%
5%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |