Genoa vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
ARZ
2 - 2
GEN
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
GEN
2 - 0
CAG
39%
25%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
TRE
2 - 2
GEN
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
GEN
2 - 0
CRO
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
CTT
1 - 1
GEN
36%
27%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
TRE
0 - 0
BAR
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
PIA
1 - 1
TRE
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
TRE
2 - 2
GEN
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
TER
3 - 1
TRE
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
TRE
1 - 0
PES
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |