Genoa vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
UDI
2 - 0
GEN
52%
28%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
GEN
0 - 1
TER
70%
20%
11%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
CAG
2 - 1
GEN
63%
21%
15%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
GEN
4 - 2
CES
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
GEN
1 - 0
SPA
71%
20%
9%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
SAM
0 - 0
PIS
59%
25%
17%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
RIM
0 - 2
SAM
41%
31%
28%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
SAM
1 - 0
USF
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
SSS
2 - 2
SAM
45%
31%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
TER
2 - 1
SAM
47%
30%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |