Genoa vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
55.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 1
GEN
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
GEN
0 - 1
TOR
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 0
GEN
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
NAP
1 - 1
GEN
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
GEN
0 - 4
INT
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
ROM
3 - 0
CAG
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
INT
1 - 1
ROM
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ROM
1 - 0
UDI
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 1
ROM
30%
24%
46%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
ROM
2 - 2
FIO
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |