Genoa vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 1
GEN
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
GEN
3 - 3
TOR
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 3
ACL
68%
19%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
EMP
0 - 2
GEN
65%
20%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
PIA
4 - 4
GEN
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
PES
1 - 2
PIA
28%
28%
45%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
TER
3 - 1
PES
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
PES
3 - 3
RIM
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
PES
1 - 1
PRG
17%
23%
61%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
PES
2 - 2
TER
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |