Serie A Round 13

Genoa vs Parma analysis

Genoa Parma
83 ELO 89
3.3% Tilt -6.8%
63º General ELO ranking 85º
13º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
34.8%
Genoa
27.9%
Draw
37.3%
Parma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
Genoa
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37.3%
Win probability
Parma
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Genoa
+1%
+8%
Parma

ELO progression

Genoa
Parma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Genoa
Genoa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 1994
SAM
Sampdoria
3 - 2
Genoa
GEN
71%
18%
11%
83 88 5 0
27 Nov. 1994
GEN
Genoa
0 - 1
Cremonese
USC
61%
23%
16%
83 79 4 0
20 Nov. 1994
CAG
Cagliari
1 - 0
Genoa
GEN
44%
28%
28%
83 84 1 0
06 Nov. 1994
GEN
Genoa
2 - 1
Inter
INT
37%
27%
36%
83 88 5 0
30 Oct. 1994
BAR
SSC Bari
4 - 1
Genoa
GEN
32%
30%
38%
83 77 6 0

Matches

Parma
Parma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 1994
PAR
Parma
4 - 2
Athletic
ATH
61%
24%
15%
89 82 7 0
04 Dec. 1994
PAR
Parma
4 - 0
Brescia
BRE
63%
22%
15%
89 76 13 0
30 Nov. 1994
PAR
Parma
2 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
55%
26%
19%
89 85 4 0
27 Nov. 1994
INT
Inter
1 - 1
Parma
PAR
49%
26%
25%
89 88 1 0
22 Nov. 1994
ATH
Athletic
1 - 0
Parma
PAR
37%
29%
35%
89 82 7 0