Genoa vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
UNI
1 - 1
GEN
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAL
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
SAM
0 - 0
GEN
66%
20%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
GEN
2 - 2
ACM
22%
23%
55%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
TOR
3 - 2
GEN
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
SPA
0 - 1
LAZ
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
FIO
0 - 1
LAZ
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
LAZ
0 - 1
UDI
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
PAL
2 - 0
LAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |