Genoa vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
48.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
ASS
2 - 2
GEN
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
GEN
1 - 0
SSS
72%
17%
12%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
VER
0 - 3
GEN
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 1976 |
LAZ
1 - 0
GEN
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
GEN
3 - 0
MOD
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
MAC
1 - 0
JUV
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
JUV
4 - 0
SSS
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
JUV
2 - 0
VER
83%
13%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
ASS
1 - 1
JUV
7%
18%
75%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
PRG
1 - 0
JUV
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |