Genoa vs Fortis Trani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
PRO
1 - 0
GEN
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
GEN
0 - 0
NOV
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
PIS
1 - 1
GEN
34%
30%
37%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
GEN
2 - 2
PAD
62%
23%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
POT
2 - 0
GEN
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fortis Trani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
FOR
0 - 0
FCC
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
FOR
1 - 0
MAN
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
ASS
2 - 0
FOR
63%
22%
16%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
REG
2 - 0
FOR
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
FOR
1 - 0
PAL
44%
27%
30%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |