Genoa vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1934 |
ROM
3 - 0
GEN
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1934 |
GEN
0 - 2
JUV
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
BRE
3 - 1
GEN
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
GEN
2 - 0
LIV
62%
18%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
BOL
3 - 0
GEN
69%
17%
13%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1934 |
FIO
1 - 0
INT
41%
26%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1934 |
FIO
2 - 2
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
LAZ
2 - 2
FIO
38%
24%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
FIO
2 - 2
JUV
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
BRE
4 - 0
FIO
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |