Serie A . Jor. 30

Genoa vs Fiorentina analysis

Genoa Fiorentina
74 ELO 81
-7.9% Tilt -5.4%
190º General ELO ranking 48º
14º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40.2%
Genoa
23.8%
Draw
36%
Fiorentina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
Genoa
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36%
Win probability
Fiorentina
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Genoa
+14%
-2%
Fiorentina

ELO progression

Genoa
Fiorentina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Genoa
Genoa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 1934
ROM
Roma
3 - 0
Genoa
GEN
63%
20%
17%
75 83 8 0
01 Apr. 1934
GEN
Genoa
0 - 2
Juventus
JUV
36%
26%
38%
75 90 15 0
25 Mar. 1934
BRE
Brescia
3 - 1
Genoa
GEN
43%
24%
33%
76 74 2 -1
18 Mar. 1934
GEN
Genoa
2 - 0
Livorno
LIV
62%
18%
20%
75 71 4 +1
11 Mar. 1934
BOL
Bologna
3 - 0
Genoa
GEN
69%
17%
13%
76 86 10 -1

Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 1934
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 0
Inter
INT
41%
26%
32%
80 86 6 0
01 Apr. 1934
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 2
Casale
CAS
74%
16%
10%
80 59 21 0
25 Mar. 1934
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 2
Fiorentina
FIO
38%
24%
37%
80 74 6 0
18 Mar. 1934
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 2
Juventus
JUV
35%
27%
38%
80 90 10 0
11 Mar. 1934
BRE
Brescia
4 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
34%
25%
41%
81 73 8 -1
X