Serie B . Jor. 16

Genoa vs FC Südtirol analysis

Genoa FC Südtirol
76 ELO 64
-4.5% Tilt -5%
190º General ELO ranking 747º
14º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
63.5%
Genoa
22.8%
Draw
13.6%
FC Südtirol

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
Genoa
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
13.6%
Win probability
FC Südtirol
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Genoa
+10%
-5%
FC Südtirol

Points and table prediction

Genoa
Their league position
FC Südtirol
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
58
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Frosinone
80
80
100%
Genoa
71
72
100%
SSC Bari
66
66
100%
Parma
60
61
100%
Cagliari
60
60
100%
FC Südtirol
58
58
100%
Reggina
48
53
100%
Venezia
49
49
0%
Palermo FC
49
49
0%
Ascoli
11º
48
48
10º
100%
Modena
10º
48
48
11º
100%
Pisa SC
12º
47
47
12º
0%
Como
13º
47
47
13º
0%
Cittadella
15º
43
43
14º
0%
Ternana Calcio
14º
43
43
15º
0%
Brescia
16º
40
40
16º
0%
Cosenza
17º
40
40
17º
0%
SPAL
18º
38
38
18º
100%
Perugia
19º
37
37
19º
100%
Benevento
20º
36
36
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Genoa
FC Südtirol
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Genoa
FC Südtirol
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Genoa
Genoa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2022
GEN
Genoa
0 - 1
Cittadella
CTT
56%
25%
19%
76 70 6 0
27 Nov. 2022
PRG
Perugia
1 - 0
Genoa
GEN
23%
27%
50%
76 65 11 0
13 Nov. 2022
GEN
Genoa
1 - 1
Como
COM
69%
20%
12%
77 60 17 -1
07 Nov. 2022
REG
Reggina
2 - 1
Genoa
GEN
25%
27%
47%
77 66 11 0
29 Oct. 2022
GEN
Genoa
1 - 1
Brescia
BRE
47%
25%
27%
77 74 3 0

Matches

FC Südtirol
FC Südtirol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2022
FCS
FC Südtirol
1 - 1
Frosinone
FRO
23%
28%
49%
64 75 11 0
27 Nov. 2022
FCS
FC Südtirol
2 - 2
Ascoli
ASC
25%
27%
47%
64 72 8 0
12 Nov. 2022
BAR
SSC Bari
2 - 2
FC Südtirol
FCS
54%
25%
21%
64 67 3 0
05 Nov. 2022
FCS
FC Südtirol
2 - 2
Cagliari
CAG
27%
30%
43%
64 72 8 0
29 Oct. 2022
SPA
SPAL
1 - 1
FC Südtirol
FCS
59%
23%
18%
63 68 5 +1
X