Genoa vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
GEN
3 - 2
VNZ
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
PIA
2 - 2
GEN
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
GEN
3 - 1
FCC
81%
13%
5%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
EMP
0 - 0
GEN
54%
25%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
GEN
3 - 3
CES
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
TER
3 - 2
FCC
70%
21%
10%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 1
VER
23%
26%
52%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
GEN
3 - 1
FCC
81%
13%
5%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 4
TRE
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 1
TOR
23%
28%
50%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | +1 |