Genoa vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BOL
3 - 2
GEN
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ACM
1 - 0
GEN
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GEN
1 - 4
SIE
57%
23%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
GEN
1 - 1
CES
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 1
GEN
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CAG
0 - 0
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
CAG
3 - 0
CAT
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 0
CAG
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 0
CAG
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CAG
2 - 2
INT
25%
27%
49%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |