Genoa vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
LAZ
1 - 2
GEN
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAR
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
EMP
1 - 1
GEN
59%
23%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
GEN
1 - 3
SIE
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
TOR
1 - 1
GEN
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 2
ROM
21%
24%
54%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
LIV
1 - 1
ATL
43%
26%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
ATL
1 - 3
PAL
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
JUV
1 - 0
ATL
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ATL
5 - 1
NAP
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |