Genoa vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
GEN
0 - 2
TER
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
MES
0 - 0
GEN
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
GEN
1 - 1
SIE
69%
20%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
COM
2 - 1
GEN
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
GEN
1 - 1
PIS
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
ANC
1 - 1
COM
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
CRO
2 - 0
ANC
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
ANC
1 - 1
MES
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
SIE
0 - 0
ANC
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2002 |
ANC
0 - 1
NAP
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |