Gefle vs Jönköpings Södra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
13º
9º
31
4º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 1
GEF
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
SOL
0 - 1
GEF
32%
24%
44%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GEF
2 - 1
ORE
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OIF
1 - 2
GEF
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GEF
2 - 0
IKB
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Jönköpings Södra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
GIF
3 - 2
JON
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
ASS
3 - 0
JON
37%
23%
41%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
JON
2 - 2
HEL
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
ORE
3 - 0
JON
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
JON
0 - 2
UTS
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |