GDA vs HMSH analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GDA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
POO
1 - 2
GDA
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GDA
1 - 1
ZWE
36%
22%
42%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
XER
0 - 2
GDA
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GDA
0 - 1
FCB
29%
21%
50%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
NIE
4 - 1
GDA
76%
15%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
HMSH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
HMS
0 - 2
WAT
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
HMS
2 - 2
XER
18%
19%
63%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ZWE
5 - 0
HMS
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
GOE
5 - 2
HMS
90%
7%
3%
|
13 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
HMS
0 - 6
NIE
12%
16%
73%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | -1 |