Fontinhas vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
GDF
0 - 1
SER
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CON
3 - 1
GDF
23%
22%
55%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -3 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 1
GDF
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
GDF
3 - 1
MAR
69%
18%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GDF
2 - 0
OLE
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
OLE
1 - 1
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 2
VIT
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 1
PRA
26%
24%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CON
2 - 3
VIT
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
IDA
0 - 4
VIT
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |