Gazélec Ajaccio vs Rousset-Ste Victoire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
2º
6º
2º
40
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
GAZ
6 - 0
USM
90%
8%
3%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LUC
3 - 2
GAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
GAZ
2 - 1
CBL
73%
18%
10%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 3
GAZ
17%
24%
59%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
GAZ
5 - 1
VIL
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Rousset-Ste Victoire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RSV
0 - 0
BAL
65%
18%
17%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
IST
0 - 2
RSV
40%
23%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RSV
2 - 5
NIC
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 1
RSV
59%
22%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 0
RSV
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |