Follonica Gavorrano vs Sestri Levante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FEZ
1 - 3
GAV
22%
22%
56%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GAV
0 - 0
GRO
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GHI
0 - 3
GAV
36%
23%
41%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GAV
3 - 1
ARG
64%
19%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 1
GAV
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Sestri Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SES
0 - 0
FBC
30%
25%
45%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SAV
1 - 0
SES
73%
18%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SES
0 - 1
SAN
17%
21%
62%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
USR
2 - 1
SES
55%
21%
23%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SES
1 - 3
VMO
21%
26%
53%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |