Gauthiod vs Nordvärmland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
14º
9º
20
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 32 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
78% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gauthiod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
GAU
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GAU
6 - 0
SKS
59%
19%
22%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
IKZ
0 - 6
GAU
9%
16%
75%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
GAU
1 - 4
SKO
81%
11%
8%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 0
GAU
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Nordvärmland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 3
STE
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BKF
2 - 0
NOR
75%
15%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 0
YIK
41%
22%
38%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 2
GRE
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SKS
3 - 1
NOR
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |